article thumbnail

Is Your Company Ready for a Downturn in the Economy?

Credit Research Foundation

It’s been 16 years since the last major economic downturn – the banking crisis that started in 2007 and was in full impact mode from 2008 through 2010. It’s been noted in a survey that nearly 40% of companies reported reducing their credit department staff during the pandemic. During that period, the U.S. economy shed over 8.7

article thumbnail

Best Practices for Managing Credit Risk in Recession

Abrigo

Key Takeaways This recession is significantly different than the 2008 financial crisis, creating a unique credit environment for financial institutions. Economic downturns alter the credit memo's content and process to capture credit risk. Mitigate credit risk and drive growth – even in a recession.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Prepare for stronger C&I lending demand: A $1.7 trillion “wave”

Abrigo

2004-2008: 82.6% Credit risk : In C&I lending, at least part of the collateral is intangible. The emphasis for commercial credit risk management and evaluation is cash flow, fixed charges coverage, and working capital cycles. What will need to change for solid commercial credit analysis ? 2010-2023: 137.3%

article thumbnail

Get Ready for a Wave of Commercial Bankruptcies

Your Virtual Credit Manager

After, the Great Recession of 2008, commercial bankruptcies peaked in 2009 and did not drop below pre-recession levels until 2012. Clearly, the level of Business Credit Risk is going to remain elevated as we move through 2024, bringing with it the potential for corresponding increases in bad debt and delinquency.

article thumbnail

CRE risk management: Identify and manage concentration risk

Abrigo

While there are no specific examples that are prescribed triggers, the observations above illustrate the need for banks to consider concrete indicators when evaluating commercial real estate risks in specific markets. Learn more about stress testing with this whitepaper, "Stress testing: Managing capital levels and credit risk."

CECL 78
article thumbnail

Global cash flow analysis – common mistakes & helpful hints

Abrigo

As the OCC’s Internal Guidance from April 9, 2008, explains: An analysis of the guarantor’s global cash flow should consider inflows, as well as both required and discretionary cash outflows from all activities. Different people calculating GCF in different ways will result in poor loan, pricing, and risk rating decisions. Learn More.

article thumbnail

Strategies for growing commercial loans

Abrigo

During Abrigo’s Strategies to Growing Your Commercial Loan Portfolio webinar, Newberry posited the following chart to help visualize the calculation: According to Newberry, the first question an institution should ask itself when pricing commercial deals is whether it is a better choice than an investment once credit risk is factored in.